Added to YB: 2026-10-07
Pitch date: 2026-10-01
FOUR [bullish]
Shift4 Payments, Inc.
+9.92%
current return
Author Info
The Outsiders' Corner is looking for businesses able to reinvest capital at high returns, for a long time. Sign up for the newsletter.
Company Info
Shift4 Payments, Inc. engages in the provision of software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally.
Market Cap
$3.0B
Pitch Price
$35.79
Price Target
N/A
Dividend
N/A
EV/EBITDA
8.78
P/E
60.13
EV/Sales
1.74
Sector
Financial Services
Category
growth
Inside the Corner - September 2026 - Shift4 Payments, Inc.
FOUR (hold): A base-case model implies a 27% CAGR from today’s price, an unusually attractive result that also raises concern that a material risk is being missed. Global Blue’s outcome remains too early to judge, while elevated debt and imperfect management communication warrant scrutiny. Still, only about $633M of $4.55B debt matures in 2027 versus estimated 2026 NOPAT of $650M; a recession-driven decline in restaurant, travel and experiences spending would hurt the liquidity and debt-paydown thesis.
Read full article (2 min)